Forecast of the electoral map
The Presidential Election
It all comes down to the 8 toss up states: Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia. In 2020, Biden won seven of the eight states, with North Carolina going to Adolf Shitler (a margin of 1.34%). Kamala doesn’t need all eight to get to 270, but the more states she wins, the better.
Pay close attention to Florida and Texas. Obama won Florida in 2008 and 2012, but since 2016 it’s been a solid red state. However, a high turnout could put Florida into play. In 2020, the twice-impeached, Convicted Cheeto’s margin of victory in Texas was only 5.58%. Don’t be surprised if the margin for 2024 is even smaller. Unlike 2020, I believe that we will know who won on Election Night. All the toss-up states may not have been called, but I believe Kamala will reach the 270 EV’s to win.
That being said, there should be zero expectations that the Tangerine-Tinted Trash-Can Fire will concede. He and his campaign have already come out with the Big Lie 2.0 and we should expect that to continue. There will be court cases and he will try to take it to the Supreme Court. And we have to brace ourselves for the potential for more violence. Stay strong. Stay hopeful. Stay vigilant. Stay safe. We will get through this.
On January 20, the MLK federal holiday, the first Black woman justice of the Supreme Court will swear in the first Black and Asian woman President of the United States and it will be a sight to behold!
Below is a table that shows each state, the number of EV’s, closing poll times, and projected results. Download a copy and fill in the results as they come in on Election Night or watch my blog for real-time updates.