The current makeup of the Senate is 49 Republicans, 47 Democrats, and 4 Independents (Bernie Sanders and Angus King who caucus with the Democrats, Krysten Sinema and Joe Manchin who used to be “Democrats”, *I use the term loosely*). If there is a tie, Kamala Harris as President of the Senate has the tie-breaking vote.
For the 2024 elections, there are 34 Senate races.
20 seats are currently held by Democrats
10 seats are currently held by Republicans.
4 seats are currently held by Independents
Now it’s time for some math . . . .
Wait! Why you gotta bring math into this? This is politics.
Because, at the end of the day . . . it’s all about the math.
Ok, so back to the Senate. Below you will find a map of the Senate races and a table that lists the state, the candidates, the 2024 projection, and any notes. Some races that are expected to be very close are Ohio, Montana, and Texas. There are opportunities in Maryland and Delaware to make Senate history, by electing just the third and fourth African American women to be elected, Angela Alsobrooks and Lisa Blunt Rochester. Colin Allred is in a tight race against Ted Cruz in Texas. Y’all, let’s send Ted Cruz back to Cancun. For good.
2024 Senate Races
State
Republican Candidate
Democrat/Independent Candidate
Forecast
Note
AZ
Kari Lake
Ruben Gallego
Leans Blue
Kristen Sinema, the incumbent, is not running for re-election.
FL
Rick Scott (Incumbent)
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Likely Red
MD
Larry Hogan
Angela Alsobrooks
Likely Blue
Ben Cardin (D), the incumbent, is not running for re-election.
MI
Mike Rogers
Elissa Slotkin
Leans Blue
Debbie Stabenow (D), incumbent, is not running for re-election.
MT
Tim Sheehy
Jon Tester (Incumbent)
Leans Red
NE
Deb Fischer
Dan Osborn (Independent)
Likely Red
NV
Sam Brown
Jacky Rosen (Incumbent)
Leans Blue
OH
Bernie Moreno
Sherrod Brown (Incumbent)
Toss Up
PA
David McCormick
Bob Casey (Incumbent)
Leans Blue
TX
Ted Cruz (Incumbent)
Colin Allred
Likely Red
WI
Eric Hovde
Tammy Baldwin (Incumbent)
Leans Blue
WV
Jim Justice
Glenn Elliott
Safe Red
Joe Manchin, the incumbent, is not running for re-election.
CA
Steve Garvey
Adam Schiff
Safe Blue
Laphonza Butler was appointed by Governor Newsom in 2023. She is not running for a full term.
CT
Matt Corey
Chris Murphy (Incumbent)
Safe Blue
DE
Eric Hansen
Lisa Blunt Rochester
Safe Blue
Tom Carper (Democrat), incumbent, is not seeking re-election.
HI
Bob McDermott
Mazie Hirono (Incumbent)
Safe Blue
IN
Jim Banks
Valerie McCray
Safe Red
Mike Braun (Republican), the incumbent is retiring to run for Governor.
MA
John Deaton
Elizabeth Warren (Incumbent)
Safe Red
ME
Demi Kouzounas
Angus King (Independent, Incumbent), David Costello (Democrat)
Safe Independent
MN
Royce White
Amy Klobuchar (Incumbent)
Safe Blue
MO
Josh Hawley (Incumbent)
Lucas Kunce
Safe Red
MS
Roger Wicker (Incumbent)
Ty Pinkins
Safe Red
ND
Kevin Cramer (Incumbent)
Katrina Christiansen
Safe Red
NE
Pete Ricketts (Incumbent)
Preston Love
Safe Red
NJ
Curtis Bashaw
Andy Kim
Safe Blue
George Helmy was appointed to replace Bob Menendez.
NM
Nella Domenici
Martin Heinrich (Incumbent)
Safe Blue
NY
Mike Sapraicone
Kirsten Gillibrand (Incumbent)
Safe Blue
RI
Patricia Morgan
Sheldon Whitehouse (Incumbent)
Safe Blue
TN
Marsha Blackburn (Incumbent)
Gloria Johnson
Safe Red
UT
John Curtis
Caroline Gleich
Safe Red
Mitt Romney (Republican), incumbent, is not running for re-election.
